Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000210 0.000234 0.000261 0.000292 0.000326 0.000363 0.000406
2024-12-22 0.000174 0.000208 0.000246 0.000293 0.000349 0.000413 0.000494
2024-12-29 0.000148 0.000187 0.000233 0.000293 0.000369 0.000462 0.000584
2025-01-05 0.000126 0.000167 0.000219 0.000290 0.000383 0.000503 0.000668
2025-01-12 0.000111 0.000154 0.000210 0.000290 0.000401 0.000549 0.000763
2025-01-19 0.000099 0.000143 0.000203 0.000292 0.000421 0.000599 0.000868
2025-01-26 0.000088 0.000131 0.000194 0.000289 0.000431 0.000637 0.000958
2025-02-02 0.000083 0.000128 0.000195 0.000301 0.000465 0.000711 0.001108
2025-02-09 0.000076 0.000122 0.000192 0.000305 0.000487 0.000768 0.001237
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000116 0.000188 0.000309 0.000507 0.000824 0.001368
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000110 0.000182 0.000308 0.000521 0.000869 0.001486
2025-03-02 0.000059 0.000102 0.000175 0.000303 0.000527 0.000903 0.001589
2025-03-09 0.000054 0.000097 0.000169 0.000303 0.000541 0.000954 0.001727
2025-03-16 0.000050 0.000092 0.000165 0.000303 0.000558 0.001010 0.001882
2025-03-23 0.000046 0.000087 0.000161 0.000304 0.000574 0.001067 0.002043
2025-03-30 0.000042 0.000082 0.000155 0.000300 0.000582 0.001109 0.002181
2025-04-06 0.000039 0.000078 0.000151 0.000300 0.000597 0.001167 0.002354
2025-04-13 0.000037 0.000075 0.000149 0.000302 0.000616 0.001232 0.002550
2025-04-20 0.000034 0.000071 0.000144 0.000299 0.000623 0.001275 0.002702
2025-04-27 0.000033 0.000071 0.000146 0.000311 0.000665 0.001392 0.003021
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000069 0.000145 0.000316 0.000689 0.001474 0.003274
2025-05-11 0.000030 0.000066 0.000144 0.000319 0.000711 0.001555 0.003530
2025-05-18 0.000028 0.000064 0.000140 0.000318 0.000724 0.001616 0.003749